Tuesday, January 29, 2013

Prof Blinder, Princeton


Moral: Wherein we consider the use, again, of 'chimera' when things are flying high (DOW above 13.9). More or less, Ben is getting what he wants, though many (oodles, actually) are not part of this bubble.

---

There seem to be voices of reason around and about who are not going gaga over the equity climb or who are not enthralled by the computation trickery. Turns out that Princeton may have a few of these folks. We have already pointed to work related to complexity issues with financial products (Lemons, et al). Now, I see that an Economics Professor presents a message that resonates with the theme of the blog.

Let's point to four reviews and then summarize the book: USA Today, LA Times, WSJ, NYT. In the USA Today review, there were phrases dropped here and there that have appeared in this blog.
This list from a review. No doubt, I could get more from the book itself. This is sufficient, though, for now. 

---

Aside: As the exchanges soar, does not "chimera" become bad usage? We looked at that (Oct 2012) a little bit ago, as one has to wonder what's behind the exuberance. Earlier, we looked at how King Alan (Sep 2009) had said that he saw an irrational type (late 1990s timeframe); some now say the thing is rational. The key to the discussion of "chimera" would look at near-zero's reality. Yes, it's a chimera no matter how large gets the fancy bubble. 

---

Using, again, the USA Today review, we can list things that the Prof mentions. 
  • bankers ought not be speculative -- yes, indeed, we have said similar (Apr 2012, for one)
  • self-regulation is unworkable -- actually, ought to go without saying
  • risk managers ought to ... -- the smarties always go too far (Nov 2009, et al
  • derivatives, et al -- new fangled, indeed (allow piracy (Aug 2011), et al)
  • balance sheet -- don't allow the off-sheet (Aug 2009) stuff  
The Prof used: After the Music Stopped. Sure enough. The crooks quit since there were too many lemons; who was trustworthy, financially (Aug 2009)? Jamie (Jun 2012)?

Remarks:

07/31/2013 -- Ben cannot unwind or taper downhe has too many Doves. We'll have to get back to the king thing (yes, the divine rights of the CEO) and dampening of these types by a new outlook (Magna-Carta'ísh).

02/26/2013 -- One who structured financial instruments joked that a cow could do this and still get the AAA rating. Just cannot fathom how this type of thing became popular and was even glorified with finance (earlier, I had used fiction in my discussion of the smells out of the disciplines dealing with (our) money). Weakest link, and other, examples come to play that ought to have given pause. In some cases, those doing this idiocy had a scientific academic background. Go figure.

02/26/2013 -- What? Ben doesn't have any influence with his put?

01/29/2013 -- The WSJ review is a nice counterpoint.

Modified: 07/31/2013



Sunday, January 20, 2013

Zeno, in the modern context


Moral: Wherein we let the 'chimera' slide by, for now.


---

It's common knowledge that the modern world knows things through computers. This is true from the most recent phenomena, of noses to smart phones parading as intelligent behavior, to the wide expanses of cosmology's modeling of the heavens and exploration of multi-universes as an explanation, of sorts. In between, we have IRS's use plus business computing, such as design, planning, and a number of other things.

So, where does one go to look at issues related to such knowledge? The ACM is a good start. Say, their Communications of the ACM. Then, we have a whole lot of other folks, such as IEEE, IJCAI, and such.

---

The following is motivated by a viewpoint, expressed by Phillip G. Armour, in the ACM. His article is titled: The Business of Software: How We build Things (in paper, slightly different on-line). There are two things to mention here, though the article ought to be read.

File:Zeno of Elea Tibaldi or Carducci Escorial.jpg
Zeno, Veritas et Falsitas
He uses Zeno in talking about what I had called Earned Value. I only used Zeno once (Fedaerated) in several posts on three blogs. Why? I had talked about this with my colleagues on many occasions. It seemed that referencing the guy was more useful in person as then one could get off on the peripatetic issues.

Why Zeno? He's the guy of the arrow. Or, as the joke goes, the mathematician who doesn't get the girl. So, Phillip asks: why do people guess that they're 95% (or some such number) complete on a task as if they're monotonically approaching, with no end in sight?

Phillip laughs it off. I don't as it was a regular occurrence as we tried to assess completion of a project with lots of people and oodles of modules. Nowadays, it's not an issue (say, with Zuck's stuff) as they can just push out system changes (with a recovery method, hopefully, to use if things go bad) without regard to testing status. This is not true for other parts of the business world, say like the 787 (even a most-specified test plan will still leave room for judgment calls -- we'll get to that).

---

Phillip's use gets me thinking, again, that I need to bring the topic forward, again.

First, though, a useful exercise would be to gather all of the posts, for each of the blogs, that dealt with the subject of earned value. For each of the blogs, I have a list of posts that include the term. Then, I provide a list of a few of the important posts and the count of posts with the term.

Fedaerated (18)        7'oops7 (41)        Truth Engineering (20)

Now, for this blog, posts didn't start until 2009. The theme has been economic but wide-ranging due to the breadth of Ben's influence.

We'll bring this subject up to date and relate it, as it ought to be, to fair value and to the contexts of the related blogs.

A sampling of posts follows:
  • Jobs, labor, disrespect (Jan 15, 2012) -- Part of the zero sum issue is that running to outhouse allows many important factors to be ignored. That is, until these raise their heads (which is inevitable) under the new situation. 
  • Some background I (Apr 3, 2011) -- Berkeley applies here, despite the protestations otherwise that are based upon modern (all types) analysis. 
  • On the behalf of (Oct 5, 2009) -- Even if an agent wants to do well by his/her client, that is no guarantee. Bringing in lemons makes matters descend to chaos.  
  • Value, fair or earned (Sep 3, 2009) -- Value, of any type, determination can be a hard issue, even if one believes in computational approaches, all manners of glossing over aside.  
There are a lot more posts to look. We'll get back to that.

---

Phillip used some mathematics to show the problems related to knowing where you were with a project (the managers, like kids, say: are we there, yet?). Nice article.

Remarks:

05/30/2013 -- This theme will play within the cosmology of business. Isn't it interesting that Zeno applies in the modern context.

02/26/2013 -- What? Ben doesn't have any influence with his put?

01/26/2013 -- Of late, more money is pouring into equity buckets. How long before a burst? 

Modified: 05/30/2013

The spirit of the thing

Moral: Wherein we consider that Adam's (and others') use of spirit ("animal" and otherwise) needs a new look, perhaps. And, is Lance a better poster boy than, say, Jamie?

---

Of late, Armstrong is in the news, what with his little chat with Oprah before the cameras. There is no need for any link here, as everyone knows the story.

So, based upon one's reaction to that bit of tell-it-like-it is, one might predict the response to the revelation that follows about business, perhaps. Here are the questions for you, the reader.
  • Was Lance in his right to dope up? After all, plenty of athletes do. They push their body beyond natural limits (and pay the price). Too, they're entertainers, somewhat, to an increasingly rabid crowd fed by television and by the growing influence of the web (fantasy leagues, et al). 
  • Or, ought Lance be a poster boy (as, perhaps, too, these types of guys) for things that we don't want? Or, in other words, games ought to be fair? Too, if some types want to get down and dirty, perhaps, we ought to provide the sandbox (play pen) for such.  
  • Wait, nothing is purely black and white, so there has to be other positions: bring in more factors (after all, he did have cancer), realize that it's a dirty world (we all crap, regularly), and more?
Okay, how did you answer? Well, it turns out that your notions apply to your thoughts of business, too. For instance, did you know that everyday there are people doing business work for which they are not proud (as in, they're cloaked behind all sorts of rationalizations and legalese)? 

Oh, that's the way of the world?

---

Business week
Earlier, we mentioned hedge funds as being problematic. Actually, we suggested that they are to the rich what ponzis (Herbalife aside) are to the poor (yet, Made-off targeted the rich - made them feel to be in some exclusive set, or such as that). Perhaps, hedge funds are for the more smart of the crowd. 

So, Businessweek quotes some player saying that all in this type of business have to go over the edge (not talking morality, as they are not even close to have any moral bones in their embodied thing). And yes, I know the connotation of "edge" being used the quote, basically an advantage (that's why some sports have weight classes, etc.). Consider, any edge, in the more general sense, has a couple of sides (at least), not unlike the proverbial wall. Which side one falls on tells a lot about the person. 

We know this type of thing is the usual mode? So, why are those who fill their pockets this way given so much applause? Envy? Ah, thank you, we tell them. It feels so good to have our collective pockets picked by your Excellencies! Who wants to have that type of tainted money?

---

As well, we saw problems with the systems that run markets. This goes on daily, to boot. Well, in the U.S., five days a week. And, underlying their machinations is very suspect theory. Ah, the way of the world, again.

The fact is that we could clean up the whole thing, if we had the heart. One basic argument is that everyone is doing it (as in, no place in the world is clean, after all, we're nowhere near anything like utopia).

Anyway, the world is more about power than truth, for now (as in, until when?).

---

Are those who do the "bad" deeds just stupid? You know, there is an adage about rising above one's level of competence. Do some of these folks just have a higher platform from which to launch themselves into errant ways? That is, they're already to 3rd base or home before they even start.

But, no, newbies abound in the class of steppers-over-the-line, to boot. Actually, there is a lot of lip-service, by some, in regard to ethics (the 1636 school, trust (these guys/gals), and more. But does technology imply out of control? That is, the American dream is a farce, except for the very few (as in, those who can pirate and get away with it)?

Remarks:

03/22/2013 -- GW at ESPN (see image on right) has a nice point of view on the madness (and related comments). We ought to have something similar for the financial folks, using play money, with prizes. That's the sandbox, folks. Then, the real stuff would be handled by mature, stable adults (not the greed ridden - and similar ilks -- okay?). The madness has to do with animal spirits just like the market (ala Adam). Too bad that one loss gets one out the door. Perhaps, at the final four level, there ought to be a round robin, like college baseball. --- Now, having just written the above, this glorious bit of madness is really a sham (see comment at madness, 03/12/2012, below). The whole madness pits kids against each other, who are playing for naught (comparatively), being coached by millionaires, with big buck media behind the affair, and a bunch of other lucrative ploys benefiting from the labors of the few. If one looked at qualities (as in, abstract out a truthful look at this), one could find parallels (many, many) all across history (these things being not consider our best behavior). Granted some (as in, not all) of the kids go on to big bucks. Others find glory in their endeavors (what would be be without school spirit?). Yet, besides the commonality with historic events that aren't looked at as being our (humankind's) best moments, there are all sorts of analogs in business (which we've seen of late, in glorious detail, as being problematic at its core - the heart that is supposed to be related to finance). By the way, see the comment (madness, 02/08/2013); that particular team ended up with a #1 seed.

Modified: 03/22/2013

Tuesday, January 15, 2013

Business, as stupid

Moral: Wherein we look at what's behind a lot of what's called business: silliness. Why else the ca-pital-sino and all of the related crap? (note, please, I'm saying business; politics is another whole thing)

---

The last man standing
What was that adage? By the 2nd grade (kindergarten?), we know all we need to know about people and life? Reading about Jamie's little rag (he? the epitome of banking - well paid, and such -- remember, last man standing) about his people (Jamie said that some of his people were running around like chickens in the time of the "whale" bit, worrying about their career more than what they ought to do to understand, and to resolve, the problem - has he looked at his ilk?) gets me to thinking about his type. Ah, CEOs? The WSJ, this weekend, said that we ought to honor them. Hah!

You know why that laugh? Well, there are people in the world who are effective. That is, they can do things and get things done. And, some of these make millions; millions of these slave away exploited by the CEO (and their ilk). Another type? Those who take (in one age, Vikings were the epitome in the European theater). That is, they dominate, have to be lording over someone, and such. Oh yes, they can order people around. Those who are the effective get things done; the order-around'ers take the credit (more times than not) and get the remuneration.

Now, we have those two sets of people. Doers (thank God for that) and manipulators (all types, essentially, exploiters of loopholes, skimmers off of the top, etc.). Now, there are other than these two sets (politicians, for one), but we'll just look at these two, for now (again, as this was addressed before, somewhat). The other sets will be looked at in time, as they relate to business, to boot.

---

Engineers, for the most part, are doers (see Engineer Memes, for a laugh or two). Some become managers thereby moving out of the doer set (by the way, I heard a manager - about 15 years ago - bewail that he doing something for himself made him a doer - this about the time when secretaries were being let go and managers had to share those types of resources - but, this for another time). And, we have engineers put themselves through paces in order to become entitled to the role and its glory; then, we have them work for manipulators (but, that's the catch, engineers who rise to management become ineffectual).

So, we might say that it's the way of the world. Not necessarily, as I've run across several organizations in which the power roles were passed around. Those who were really effective tried to shy away from playing in the crap (used intentionally, as dirt is to be honored - it feeds you, for instance, by providing the means for food production - hydroponics' role is minuscule, comparatively, at least as of now).

---

What's the point? It's a lead-in to chimera talking. Doers of the markets are those who are putting the technology into place, establishing the rules of the road, and managing activity. The takers, in this case? Most of the players.

We now hear that an exchange, of a newer variety, has been mis-handling trades for a few years. This came out via audit (we can look at this in more detail, but now we're just talking the generalities). Ignoring the particulars, one has to go back to look at why we think that these computational systems are doing things correctly. First of all, what is correct is not simple (as the guy who runs things says, but he didn't go far enough). Then, who the hell has determined that programming is easy and that we ought to take results from efforts of these people without question (oh, I know, the Zucks of the world just crap on us, and we keep silent since the system appears to be free)?

So, without belaboring the thing, let's look at what will be required. Along with oversight, we need to have quiescent points that will allow a look at things (even if it's time to do a quick capture of the state). This ought to be daily. Then, for any of these hotshot systems, with their automated trading, we need a computational watchdog(s). Ah, yes, none of the stupid dark pools, either.

Consider: Each trade would be handled, and verified, at the time of the event and scrutinized at the review point (several times). It would squelch speculation (yes, Minsky talked about the need).

Why this? There are serious computational problems that are being overlooked (read this and look at the Princeton FAQ). Rick Bookstaber of the SEC, at his blog, had a post (Great migration and barbarians) to which I responded, as follows:
    The definition of the new barbarians would include those who can (via access, by ability, etc.) manipulate the game through knowledge that the underlying complexity will most likely shield their introduction of 'lemons' despite efforts by the "non-barbarians" to be vigilant and to prevent such gaming of the system. Evidently, it works. As in, where are the perp walks?  
    See Princeton's FAQ on the subject of computational complexity and financial products: 
    The net effect can be a huge pocket-picking of the multitude of the hapless by the very few.   
In this day and age, the takers have a new game, given to them by the technological advances of the doers. Isn't that the shites (love those Aussies)? This new thing (the glories of the cloud and more) have already been trashed by those who have been a pain in our collective butts throughout the whole history of mankind.

---

So, back to the guy who runs the new exchange: why, guy, did you run off and sell your services as if they needed no scrutiny? Well, to make money, of course. The thing is that the game is now different due to computers (and advancements in the misuse of abstraction - we'll have to get back to this by extending our most popular post).

Business needs to take the role (hear me, Jamie?) in setting up a sustainable approach. Yes, and Ben, to boot, needs to bring his mind around to the reality.

Remarks:

11/24/2013 -- The ACM has a review article on algorithmic trading that everyone ought to read. Essentially, if we use a plane as an example (consider what Boeing has had to do to get the 787 out and about), we would say that the financial folks are putting passengers on experimental aircraft with little regard to their safety and comfort. The whole notion is atrocious. How does it happen? They've coached things in mathematics and computerese, plus they've bastardized Adam Smith's ideas. Where is our sandbox, and where is the stable economic system that we can build?

04/11/2013 -- See Alpha Seeking article.

01/20/2013 -- The recent Business Week had something interesting article (Steven Cohen, of SAC Capital). Some employed in the business have misgivings about their ways of doing things. One talker, under questioning, was asked if he knew of any hedge fund that was clean, or above reproach using the old concept (as in, no shady dealings). No, he said. They could not survive, otherwise. It's like doping.

01/18/2013 -- http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/america-declare-bankruptcy-doug-casey-124119100.html (easy debt mortgaging the future generations -- loose money, too, thanks, Ben). How many businesses,  like Hawker, were idiotic deals with loads of debt while some walked away with huge pockets?

01/17/2013 -- The Atlantic Article: What's Inside America's Banks? Using Wells Fargo as the focus.

01/16/2013 -- Consider this a ranting overview, the specifics can be addressed, more rationally, using material like Rick's post on his agent-based modeling work. Think of the agent view as analogous to the particle look in physics. What is at the basis of matter? Particle or wave? ... Why would we care from the viewpoint of business and busyness? ... Particles are individuals but could be compound. Think of the wave as representing the composite of the particles, in a sense (there are many other ways). So, talking about economic objects (particles), we have individuals, super individuals (companies, in other words), nations, and more. Some collection, like a bank (many employees (traders, et al), with a Jamie in pseudo-charge, as in, pretty-boy, front-man is a necessary role as we, the customers, want to know that our money is safe - so the pretty-boy can mouth comforting words to us), could be split into the particles, but then what would be the bank? It's a particle, itself, and a series of waves. But, one could, in certain views, use a wave as representing something meaningful. Like, is the principle direction vector pointing toward the mud (not necessarily kidding here - and say that it's a pig's wallow full of it) so that we all get splattered with crap? ... Our problem? The descent (as we've all felt and seen) is due to a lowering all around as these particles followed their own thing without any due thought to the flock (ah, how can we teach such a thing? -- if I'm a John Galt, to which flock do I belong?).

Modified: 11/24/2013

Saturday, December 22, 2012

Open trading and the chimera

Moral: Wherein we stop to consider why 'chimera' might come to be. Things, in the exchanges, are booming because Ben continues to sack the savers and to give to the money'd set.

The 12/21/12 WSJ had an article (Open Trading Still Hallmark of a Fair Market) that quoted some who have been involved in trading prior to the advent of the more automated means. The article says: Many in the securities business would ... [maintain] that electronic trading and computers have made the business cleaner, more efficient and less prone to abuse.

I would maintain that these ones (the above 'some') are those who benefit from the new methods and are not those who are involved with the technical details. Let's take each of those and consider their belief.
  • cleaner business - There is less shouting, saliva spitting, and such. As well, the floor isn't covered, at the end of the day, with cast-off trade sheets and notes. The underlying basis, though, is very dirty, about as opaque as are the dark pools (representing almost 1/2 of the trades, daily) that some of these people love so much. When it comes to computation, things are more hairy than we allow ourselves to recognize (see FAQ at Princeton). There are those who manipulate the game (markets, et al) through knowledge that the underlying complexity will most likely shield their introduction of 'lemons' despite efforts by the vigilant to prevent such gaming of the system. 
  • more efficient - Trades can happen at the blink of an eye, and less. That is, when they're let go (you see, pre-looks hold things up until the manipulator figures out a paying position), trades happen fast. Yet, there is no accounting daily. How can there be when derivatives are piled one upon another? Too, those dark pools aren't giving us any accounting that is worth  much at the end of the day.  
  • [image]
    WSJ 12/21/12
    CSU Archives/Everett Collection
  • less prone to abuse - This is almost laughable if one considers lemons which are easier to foster on the investor and the public under the automated means than in any other way. The stage is being set for major exploitation of the markets far beyond what we believed was possible. 
---

One ought not complain without having a solution. I have one and am ready to stomach the demands. Briefly, it would go like this. 
  • First of all, accept the reality of complexity (see FAQ at Princeton). The cards are stacked toward those who want to game the system (we'll gladly go through the history of this). 
  • Let the boys and girls play, but they have to account every day. Yes, the system doing the checking would be expensive, but, hey, it's just a matter of bringing the 'real' costs out (as in, seeing near zero for what it is). 
  • The checking system would be run in a non-profit sense with people who are smart and not after unworthy gains. Yes, there are plenty of these, folks. 
  • Have regular snaps of the entire system (of course, a quiescent point is necessary) with which ex post facto studies will improve the foundational issues. 
  • Quiescence? Possible? Yes, recently there were two days down. Post 9/11, there was an outage. We can schedule these. Then, we can turn loose analysis (actually, jobs, folks) to look for mischief. 
As I said, briefly. Taking this further awaits only the proper attention and emphasis. In the meantime, I'll continue to watch for the eventual move toward this type of oversight.

Remarks:

01/15/2013 -- Force quiescence on the thing, regularly.

12/31/2012 -- The high-frequency people are trying to get themselves seen as necessary, even beneficial. The prime benefit is to those who run such, since they're able to pull off from the top. What we need, actually, is some type of quiescent period, often (daily?) during which snapshots and analysis could be done.

12/27/2012 --  Businessworld graphic on the new market

Modified: 01/15/2013



Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Summary, 2012

Moral: Wherein we take a look at 2012.

The blog got its start in August of 2009. As of today, there have been 165 posts with 22 categories.
Past 30 days                               All time
The image shows two lists of the most-read posts, for the Past 30 days and All time.

  • Of late (Past 30 days) - Secured payments in which we consider that there are problems with regard to supporting on-going payments or to obtaining such in the future even with all of the techniques that are available in a modern economy. The age-old urge to misappropriate from others may be one of the factors needing attention.
  • Since the beginning (All time) - Computation, finance and engineering is an early post that quotes from articles in the Communication of the ACM which is the voice of an organization dealing with the technology of computing. In other words, there are issues that we have learned, yet, to address. Given such, some of the chicanery behind failures to pay may be hidden under the guise of computing which is trusted more than it ought to be, perhaps due to its complexity. 

The count of posts by year has been the following: 2009 (57), 2010 (40), 2011 (43), and so far in 2012 (24).

Remarks:  Modified: 01/02/2014

01/02/2014 -- Summary for 2013


Wednesday, December 5, 2012

The firm, and theories thereof

Moral: Wherein we just quietly nod to Ronald Coase (via Bloomberg's Businessweek).

He is 101 which means that he's been around for awhile. We need to consider his ideas, such as The Nature of the Firm, and to re-look at the earlier posts (Corporation, Corporation II) here in which we considered, briefly, the entity whose person-hood was established by the Supreme Court. As well, his take on quantification's grip, and the other than beneficial effects from the grip, does correspond, somewhat, with my own: Quants, et al.

Remarks:

07/31/2013 -- Ben cannot unwind or taper downhe has too many Doves. We'll have to get back to the king thing (yes, the divine rights of the CEO) and dampening of these types by a new outlook (Magna-Carta'ísh). By the way, if the company is a person, how do we jail it?

12/15/2012 -- We need to get back to thinking about the firm. It's given some type of "divine right" by some views (to wit, the Supreme Court's decision concerning the corporation as citizen). Kings took that notion (we'll have to look at this, to boot) for themselves. Evidently, the CEO represents the corporation, as if all is embodied in his/her self (sarcasm). Consider (partly motivated by reading about Thomas J, the slave owner, who allowed mistreatment, yet had his head in the clouds -- thank God he was not the first president as we would still have a king -- we cannot thank George enough for stepping down, --- the modern economic situation abounds in indentured slavery (oh yes, couched otherwise) -- and, Thomas would not listen to Lafayette on the matter):
  • Firms have an evolutionary, social nature and purpose. The people who work for any firm (yes, the rank and file) have as much right as do those in whose hands are all of the decisions and the assets (yes, including stockholders). It's the workers who provide the value (that sight morphed to idiocy in the latter part of the 20th century). ... Hence, getting to the basics, corporations (a type of firm) ought to have serious civil, social impediments against ill-behavior (such as, indentured slavery, bullying, ..., pollution, ..., out and out juvenile behavior, ..., et al) that are actively enforced. And, the whole thing would be coordinated across national boundaries (how?, ... ). Remember, people, capitalism built itself upon the backs of slaves and other workers (then claimed that some invisible hand was its chum - silly, indeed). 
Aside: Thomas, evidently, had kids by slaves. Then, he sold them off. Can anyone tell me any reason that we ought to hold this guy in any type of homage? Oh, great writer? We're still arguing about the issues. Kings, of course, had their illegitimate offspring (one example). Yet. many people today (even royals) descend from these folks who were, many times - not always, acknowledged by their sire as their progeny. We also know that people in economic stress sell off their kids ("sell off" has a general meaning, to boot, putting them out to hard labor, etc. -- our culture tries to get away from that, made a lot of progress at the turn of the 20th century), and we can cringe as we think of this type of behavior (by the way, farm labor on private farms is not, by definition or necessity, this type of thing). What was Thomas' excuse? 

Note one of Coase's counsels to the dismal scientists: get away from the efficient market theory (hypothesis that it is -- we'll get back to the subject).

Aside: We could argue that any accumulation of people spawns some entity (of course, the CEO thinks that he/she represents/manifests this?) that ought to have types of rights. And, these may even, in the accumulation, be more than is allowed to any individual (except, again, the star CEO?). But, science denies such types of things, as of yet. The legal profession may hint at something that needs attention (of course, the theory (and a very rational basis for such) behind such phenomena is not outside our preview, folks).

12/13/2012 -- Don't know how long this page will be there, Daily Ticker. But, when I looked, 69% had said 'no' (hurt rather than helped) as to whether Ben has helped.

Modified: 07/31/2013