Showing posts sorted by relevance for query salivate. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query salivate. Sort by date Show all posts

Friday, August 14, 2009

The Law

Moral: Wherein we look at the law.

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Gosh, had not expected to get to this area so soon, but posting on something new requires a little study which can lead to interesting paths. For instance, from first principles, these first posts are foundational. So far, we've looked at the markets, labor and laborers, and corporations.

Guess what? Due to some readings of the 14th Amendment of the US Constitution, corporations can claim rights, just like do we people. Say what?

Yes, but there are several differences. For one, they do not have 'being' in the same sense of humans. We'll address that at some point.

Too, they have more money and clout which can mean that, they, through hubris, can think that they are above law; well, don't some (many) politicos just salivate when the buck is passed under their noses?

And, they've been pretty good about knocking down labor, both dis-organized and organized, except that labor, as core, is a foundational, and fundamental, truism which needs more attention. Though we can anticipate that this applies to individuals for the most part.

Note, we have not said that corporations do not have some 'person' equivalents, as that same logic is what allows a collective of labor to argue their rights. Guess what? Some overlay of these might be expected, though one would very much think that labor, as core, might be more fundamental. It has not worked out that way, as of yet.

So, this post is only introductory but shows that Law is a major player in the economy. It sets the tone and the milieu. During times of rampant Rand-ism, those at the upper end of the talent scale are allowed to screw over the rest of the mix. What does this mean? Well, the right-hand side of the probability distribution function (curve called the pdf) covers a few, who, given the right mix of culture and such, can gather for themselves a whole bunch.

Given the reality of near-zero, this, then, comes from those who trail in the pdf who are massively more in cardinality. You also get events like the recent one where it is obvious that accumulations come about through privatization of gain (by necessity, there is socialization of loss).

This most recent downturn, where financial types froze as they know their own kind very well (and didn't want to play without the usual advantage), one sees the mess of legal code and almost indecipherable readings and interpretations.

Bailouts went to the fat cats, for the most part. That is, Wall Street's siphons were very effective in their function. What did Main Street get? Ah, not much. Well, the sacking of savers is one thing (gosh, Ben, wake the heck up).

Yet, it's not hopeless, folks. Given that current choices are lighting the fires of the next bubbles (the FED is aerating to the max), we'll have crashes sooner than later.

So, the issues will continue to require attention.

Remarks:

12/05/2012 -- Nice to know that Coase's view agrees with mine, somewhat.

03/17/2011 -- On the rise of the professional politician (will there ever be the citizen polico? that is, those who do not salivate when a buck is passed beneath the nose) toward robber barony. The M & Ms are apropos. As well, need to bring in Schervish's viewpoint.

04/27/2010 -- Need to add the political set of truths, such as cat and mouse.

12/10/2009 -- More roles include the consumer and the economy.

10/29/2009 -- Bankers, Lawyers, Corporatists, Economists, and more. Roles abound.

Modified: 12/05/2012

Monday, July 26, 2010

Fair deal

Moral: Wherein we consider that the big chimera is more shell-game than fair deal.

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We all know that the basis for an economy to be just is the imperative of the 'fair' deal. Generally, we also include that the deal is 'fair' for all concerned. Now, the reality of near-zero would suggest that those 'concerned' is a much larger set than usually considered so far. Most business deals do not have a proper accounting (to be defined).

For one, the old polluters did not bring the denizens of the earth into their thinking. Too, those at the top, fat cats essentially, play havoc with the common weal with results as we have seen of late. That is, they still got their bonuses even though the majority suffered. There are people working three jobs just to stay afloat; fat cats who think that they work hard need to wake up.

Open challenge: There is no CEO of a large corporation who could stomach the stress, endure the terror of bad managers, perform with any sort of efficacy in the tasks that have been imposed, or even bear the life and the work situation of their workers. The caveat: I have to be involved in seeing that they 'fairly' have the proper experiential event (perhaps, there would be some existential realization on their part at undergoing such -- to wit, embedded boss show of the past summer did suggest some of this) in all the angst raising detail.

For the capitalist who runs around the world trying to extend the number of potential people that he or she can exploit, the 'fair' deal would include what labor needs for survival and for future security. Henry Ford knew that 100 years ago. Consumers need to make money to spend; where the 'hell' is this supposed to come from, folks, if not from wages and earnings?

It is a truism that gains on the pseudo-markets (stock, derivatives, ...) are not 'real' in that for every gain by one (or the few) there is loss by the many (if not the most).

Today, Irving Picard, the righter of the unbalances of the Made-off affair, is quoted in the WSJ as saying that he is after those who made money at the expense of others. Oh? Irving, do you not know that American business has descended to that which is doing other than 'fair' in order to line one's pocket? And, we've allowed this! That is, we as a society have allowed this, forgetting for the moment those politicos who salivate at the thought of money and downright slobber at the touch of the buck to their hand.

And, we did it under the guise that Adam Smith was the Prophet. Give me and him a break, people. Interlopers have taken over the economy of the west (however, defined - we'll get to that). And, China now has inroads to manipulate as they may and will to do so. Perhaps, we'll all learn.

Remarks:

01/20/2013 -- The bad spirit of the thing.

12/22/2012 -- Fair and open actually used in a WSJ article.

10/07/2011 -- Magna Carta, the celebration thereof. We need one of these for business. What would it look like?

Heard, from others, that the Wall Streeters jeer: we cannot help that we are good at what we do, find a job you lazy protesters. Oh, yes, Wall Streeters, you are good at what, exactly? Oh, yes, having defined the shell game, then you keep it running so that monies are sucked out of the pockets of the hapless.

09/21/2011 -- On Wealth and the CEO MVP.

04/03/2011 -- Need to look at some background. Too, tranche and trash.

03/17/2011 -- On the rise of the professional politician (will there ever be the citizen polico? that is, those who do not salivate when a buck is passed beneath the nose) toward robber barony. The M & Ms are apropos. As well, need to bring in Schervish's viewpoint.

10/14/2010 -- Capitalism, as known now, requires an endless supply of suckers.

09/27/2010 -- Capitalism is for the good of us, let's bring that forward.

08/21/2010 -- The new kings are not 'royal' by any means; they're mainly takers (exploiters) extra-ordinaire. We need a Magna Carta, for business (local and global) in which rights of the workers (how else a consumer economy?), and more, are addressed. What would this look like?

07/27/2010 -- The Boston Globe had an interesting op-ed, recently, about these types. Of course, there are several types of best and brightest, including the quants. We'll need to address this topic again using what we know of the new kings. Ah, such confidence when underdetermination reigns.

Modified: 01/20/2013


Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Quants, again

Moral: Wherein, we are reminded, well, that Ben, saver sacker that he is, is getting his job extension. So, we'll have several more posts on this theme of the quants.

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Why? Well, it stinks. Tell me. How does coming into finance with an indoctrination in the physical sciences and mathematics add to our knowledge? On what basis do these quants make their applications (scientism?) or is it just pure mathematical flim-flam to fool the populace?

Oh, those quants have to admit that they would be lost without computing.

Let's put it this way. The only motivation may be that fat cats have paid for the work since some of this type of modeling and computing does fill pockets. Oh, boy, does it ever. And, that is sufficient from a certain viewpoint since the status quo seems to be moving large amounts from the majority to the minority.

Oh, you see high-frequency trading as a level field for all of us? Ever notice how things like the 'flash' seem to be a natural consequence?

Also, the fact of near-zero says, hey wait a minute!!

One argument that you hear from the quant's view is that people are not like objects with which physics entertains itself. Oh, so this makes it difficult to predict the future. Yes, we are very hard to pin down with modeling as that thing called volition, and more, comes into play.

Hey, that the reality folks. If you would just read the insights from Vienna, then we could discuss what undecidable means in this context. But, that is not necessarily scary.

The view over here, this side of the pond, is that mathematics has the answers. That one thing is what we need to talk about.

The politicos (they who salivate when the buck is passed under their noses), management (the clueless, essentially), the hapless (hey, always getting screwed, even when the Democrats are in charge), and others need to hear about these issues so that we can all be better informed and dampen those crazies who are (you know who you are) pushing casino capitalism.

The world needs us to get our act in order.

Remarks:

11/15/2015 -- Quora coming into the scene.

03/03/2014 -- Acknowledgements, including math pedigree, will be expanded.

10/24/2012 -- Goldman skimming via Quants and their creative finance.

03/15/2012 -- Okay, might have used incomputability (see post on Alan M. Turing) but stand by the context, the issues, and the need for resolutions. Wake up, quants (you, too, Ben).

03/17/2011 -- On the rise of the professional politician (will there ever be the citizen polico? that is, those who do not salivate when a buck is passed beneath the nose) toward robber barony. The M & Ms are apropos. As well, need to bring in Schervish's viewpoint.

01/03/2010 -- More news on Goldman Sachs as the uber example of 'not on the behalf' comes to fore regularly. It'll need to be a separate subject at some point. Thanks to McClatchy: Nov 1, 2009 & Jan 3, 2010 (update). Goldman has to respond, of course.

09/09/09 -- We'll need to look at UUUN, as a framework.

09/02/2009 -- Such as, undecidability.

08/27/2009 -- Let's start talking computational issues and how they contribute to systemic risk.

08/26/2009 -- Some statements here deal with the Philosophy of Science (here's another nice little rundown), in particular as it applies to one issue contended by mainstream economics against the Vienna school: Critics of the Austrian school contend that by rejecting mathematics and econometrics, it has failed to contribute significantly to modern economics. Additionally, they contend that its methods currently consist of post-hoc analysis and do not generate testable implications; therefore, they fail the test of falsifiability.[5] Austrian economists contend that testability in economics is virtually impossible since it relies on human actors who cannot be placed in a lab setting without altering their would-be actions.

Ah, falsificationism, but what does that have with making oodles of money by the best-and-brightest (see Goldman's Town Hall)?

Modified: 11/15/2015

Monday, August 24, 2009

Money 2

Moral: Wherein we go on now from the first look at money. What we did there was review earlier posts, one of which looked at definitional work by von Mises.

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We talked about fiat currency several times in prior posts. von Mises (and the Vienna School, love the use of undecidable) had opinions about this, too, that we ought to consider, as did other, of course.

One thing to consider is how the fiat situation (as does the theme described by Minsky's) exacerbates bubbles and inflation. Just look at this chart of inflation up to 2004. Notice that after 1950, there have been no deflationary periods, that is, 49 years without going below the line. Is that natural? Do we know how to run the economy (or do the past couple of years show this)?

Without stable money, what is there to establish the proper basis? Theoretics (ah, like Ben? He who has no 'mea culpa' to offer despite blinking and being desperate.)? Quantifications (meaning, of course, that the Quants' insights and programming will be the savior)?

You know what? During that same time, of no deflation, the consumer got increasingly under a debt load, as did the US economy as a whole (hello, China). There is a definite correlation to be looked at further.

Have you noticed that, of late, the emphasis is on credit (not its natural consequence which is debt)? Yes, some change of perception has taken hold. We need to look at this, folks, and tackle this beast now.

We are mortgaging future generations for no good reason other than mental laziness. Politicos who salivate when a buck is passed underneath their noses are no help either.

Remarks:

12/06/2013 -- If only Ben would put a shot across the bow. He's helped the chimera unfold in unhealthy ways. He could, at least, say a mea culpa.

03/17/2011 -- On the rise of the professional politician (will there ever be the citizen polico? that is, those who do not salivate when a buck is passed beneath the nose) toward robber barony. The M & Ms are apropos. As well, need to bring in Schervish's viewpoint.

11/02/2010 -- Over a year later, the message is the same, except some changes have occurred. But Big Ben continues in his ways. Of real note is that the jobless rate is high; out-housing really set up for that. Also, we need to re-look at that learned from the 'vons' guys, Ludwig and Friedrich. See Near Zero.

12/15/2009 -- Requiem for the dollar (WSJ) and responses.

09/09/09 -- We'll need to look at UUUN, as a framework.

08/24/2009 -- Liquidity trap is the operative concept. Various 'helicopter money' schemes have been tried but have they gone mostly to the fat cats?

Also, we have seen the CPI fall in the past 12 months. How low can this go?

Modified: 12/06/2013

Sunday, August 16, 2009

Money 1

Moral: Wherein we consider money.

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We'll eventually get to a Money 101, however let's start to collect some background information using prior post from the related blogs.
From these, a few are listed that need more discussion.
  • Where is the money? -- this is in the context of the losses of the past few months. To where did the money go. Well, many explanations confound the issue. You see, these views do not separate money from its use. So, we have a fiat situation with money where wizards set value. Yet, 'intrinsic' value comes into play in more ways than finance allows.
  • I M F -- as we all know, there are those who work in the realm of money. Too, we know that those with more have greater power than those without. What is it exactly that allows money to accrue power (and I mean more than the salivating of the politicos as bucks are passed beneath their noses)?
  • Stable money vs Gab standard -- not an easy issue as we can see from looking at the history of these arguments. Yet, engineering of money would allow more science than we get with just the dismal variety. What would be the motivation? Well, just as the financials froze when they woke up to the fact that they were only playing against others like them (the whole playing field of advantages changed) -- they not only froze, they quit playing -- ah, feel sorry for them? -- well, we must have, as we allowed a bail out of the fat cats (question - who in Main street is enjoying any benefit of all those bucks thrown to the fat cats?).
  • Fresh look & What the hell happened -- many choices led to the recent downturn and its dire consequences for the most. These all can be looked at more closely. Those who were to show, at least, some modicum of fiscal responsibility only cared for the size of their own pockets.
  • Truth about money -- there are people who do not salivate when confronted with piles of money or gold. Are they smart? Yes, in many ways smarter than the best and brightest (what a sickening concept! created by fat cats to describe those who activities filled the fat cats' pockets maximally - of course, the fat cats would allow some bonus -- albeit, of outrageous magnitude to those with any sense of decency).
  • What is money? -- by the way. Be sure to look at von Mises work. One side of the confounded answers (see first bullet) deals with this question. Money has a long history. Its most recent manifestation, as an abstraction, can never be audited truly (despite SOX, et al) because it is an open topology. You do have to give a slight nod to those who saw the silly game's advantages for siphoning off boatloads of bucks; yet, money and ethics ought to get acquainted.
  • Money and Being -- as quaint as this may appear, it is seriously offered.
This list covers some of the basics. Next up, we'll look at securities and related.

Remarks:

05/24/2011 -- Lemons problem, dark pools, ... Oh, so much to look at!

03/17/2011 -- On the rise of the professional politician (will there ever be the citizen polico? that is, those who do not salivate when a buck is passed beneath the nose) toward robber barony. The M & Ms are apropos. As well, need to bring in Schervish's viewpoint.

01/27/2011 -- The chimera shines.

11/02/2010 -- Over a year later, the message is the same, except some changes have occurred. But Big Ben continues in his ways. Of real note is that the jobless rate is high; out-housing really set up for that. Also, we need to re-look at that learned from the 'vons' guys, Ludwig and Friedrich. See Near Zero.

12/15/2009 -- Requiem for the dollar (WSJ) and responses.

08/24/2009 -- Money 2. Gosh, now we see credit as an asset?

08/21/2009 -- Banks handle our money. Many have failed. Most have done so by bad loans rather than by screwy financial instruments, says the NYT. Ah, but they're the best (in their own minds). Do they need to be scrutinized further?

08/17/2009 -- Books on the credit crunch. This crunch involved "macroeconomic imbalances, greedy and incompetent bankers, and fraudulent American homebuyers."

08/17/2009 -- We'll get into value, too, in the sense of money having two roles (perhaps, more). One is a medium of exchange. The other is a measurement of wealth. Joseph Lazzaro estimates that the US's total value of wealth is $50,000,000,000,000 in the context of do we have enough money to fix up the economy. Of course, $2,000,000,000,000 is from China.

Modified: 08/24/2011

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Gravy train I

Moral: Wherein we start a series to look at the ideological errors of capitalism as leading to trains that are gravy (for some) and to nowhere (for most).

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First, let's recall our common basis. Well, the reality shows just how easily duped we can be.

firstbusinessx.com had on the Lehman guy (Lawrence G. McDonald) who wrote the book about the failure of common sense. He reminded us of the 'mark to market' fiasco last year where the Congress capitulated and allowed this to be relaxed.

That is, the politicos, who ,by definition, salivate when a buck is passed beneath their noses, were enticed to do this by the financial (of all types) lobbyists. Yes, indeed. Then, we got the bubble going again, and the best-and-brightest are slobbering at the thought of their fat bonuses.

We would have been better off, folks, if we had just nationalized these people's little (actually, very large) sucking pumps and had another look at the problems.

But, no, we're faced with the 'mass weapons of financial destruction' (thanks, Warren) plus there are many vehicles whose value is not known. We also know that we bailed out the people, then they have the gall to think that we ought to applaud their mania.

The guy mentioned the 'ivory tower' status of the mucky-mucks at Lehman who ruled with an iron fist, and a set of brass knuckles. Gosh, people, we got rid of the king's rule here, with its enclave of hanger ons.

Yet, now we are to allow a new class of supposedly the 'best' rule our beans (actually, eat our beans and return only flatulence)?

Let's see, that great state of Massachusetts gave the 'old Kennedy' seat to a Republican. Not that either party has anything over the other (what? they both listen to lobbyists), yet this result does bring the attention back to our mother state.

Naisbitt's opinion about China ought to give us motivation to re-look at what went down in the 1600s in good old Mass as a means to figure out how to spread the gravy (with lumps, of course) a little better.

Naturally, Harvard (Cambridge College) will have to play heavily in the discussions.

Remarks:

01/13/2012 -- A re-look at this. 

03/16/2011 -- On the rise of the professional politician (will there ever be the citizen polico? that is, those who do not salivate when a buck is passed beneath the nose) toward robber barony. The M & Ms are apropos. As well, need to bring in Schervish's viewpoint.

02/16/2011 -- Gravy train II.

01/27/2011 -- The chimera shines.

01/19/2011 -- For the most, things are dire, not by necessity.

01/03/2011 -- Ah yes, now there are demands. The question remains: what growth other than the pockets of these types?

11/02/2010 -- Over a year later, the message is the same, except some changes have occurred. But Big Ben continues in his ways. Of real note is that the jobless rate is high; out-housing really set up for that. Also, we need to re-look at that learned from the 'vons' guys, Ludwig and Friedrich. See Near Zero.

09/28/2010 -- Capitalism is for the good of us, let's bring that forward.

01/22/2010 -- We need to balance an awareness of the soup that controls synaptic activity with the fact of the wiring aspect. The use of 'neuropeptidergic' mostly reminds those who may have perfect wiring (or think that they do) that their cognitive function is more than can be be modeled by electrical circuitry.

Modified: 01/13/2012

Friday, July 2, 2010

Perelman's lesson

Moral: Wherein we consider that there are those for whom the sirens, related to the big chimera, have no hold. These are the 'real' kings (as opposed to the interlopers who are ruining everyone's world) who allow us to hope that we can develop the real backbone of the economy which is necessary for our future and that of our progeny.

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In this day, when the www allows unconscionable exposures to the trivial, via means like twitter, we have a phenomenon like Grigori Perelman to ponder. Not only did he do work for the ages, his sense of justice is remarkable.

As said before, monkeyed up mathematics, abetted by the computer, has wrecked havoc through things like 'quant' views that are rampantly being imposed everywhere.

Yes, folks, we have allowed a type of idiocy to be superposition'd over ourselves in a mode that is accelerating quickly. Characterizing this, for the means of understanding and for the purpose of managing (that is, growing up beyond the diaper'd (yes, many CEOs and their ilk) set), seems (ought?) to be a topmost priority.

Remarks:

05/08/2013 -- We'll get back to the topic of misuse but, for now, consider this. If there is such effort and resource needs for proofs (CACM April, 2014 - we'll get back to this more fully), how can the cowboys be comfortable with the spawning systems willy-nilly upon the hapless populace? Oh, of course, money as the motivation (and principle means of measurement). God help us.

04/20/2011 -- Simple living (see Remarks 04/15/2011 - game theory), as opposed to greediness.

04/04/2011 -- Need to look at some background.

03/17/2011 -- On the rise of the professional politician (will there ever be the citizen polico? that is, those who do not salivate when a buck is passed beneath the nose) toward robber barony. The M & Ms are apropos. As well, need to bring in Schervish's viewpoint.

01/03/2011 -- Ah yes, now there are demands. The question remains: what growth other than the pockets of these types?

12/05/2010 -- Raj Patel has the proper grasp on the 'financial madness' that is threatening us.

08/30/2020 -- Can't blame Ben for liking Jackson Hole. But, those driving our money systems need to take a vow of simple living.

07/02/2010 -- Remember, our bane: politicos, and some economists, are those who salivate when a buck is passed beneath their noses. Let me have 10 Grigoris, and we would put the proper foundation beneath the economic reality.

Modified: 05/08/2014

Friday, May 7, 2010

Out of control

Moral: Wherein we consider that the big chimera has many underlying problems. That is, the shell game gets out of control, now and then. No wonder the backbone of the economy breaks under such nonsense.

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Or, as Mean Street says, the computers get to 'making ugly, messy love' while our money hangs in the balance. You see, the computers are driving the economy due to its increasing roles, and there will be side-effects not unlike we will continue to see with cars.

That requires a new type of thinking, folks.

Given that the streeters, such as golden sacks, seem to deal with 'truth derivatives' (see cartoon) of their own liking, upon what can we build trust required for a market economy? It seems obvious that ill-begotten gains are the norm as how can large bonuses be so usual without some sort of fiddling?

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On another note, where does the money go? That is, when things roll downward. Today, many lost, yet others gained. That's called near-zero, folks.

Some argue that we can move away from near-zero, with upbeat outlooks, and such. Yet, there has to be a certain amount of accounting (and accountability) and auditing that stands up to scrutiny. That we're fiat'd in terms of money (aerated by the FED, in other words) sets the stage for all the bad stuff from the beginning.

Yet, even in the gold years, there were issues, as Big Ben can tell us.

It may be that the only way out of the muck is with computer systems and a proper playing field. Somehow, we need to get insights from improvements in engineering, such as cyber-physical notions, involved.

Smith and Samuelson would probably agree.

Remarks:

06/11/2015 -- Computers? Out of control, in more ways than oneAdam rolls over (again and again and ...).

12/22/2014 -- Nice to see the WSJ article use "sandboxed" in relation to the absence of "predict or control" within the context of computation (in a sense, we are already out of control very much in need of an economic sandbox). The issues raised in the article are central to truth engineering's core focus.

08/23/2013 -- Another example. Jon has it right: high-frequency to blame. Of course, there are several reasons for the market being out of control.

06/11/2013 -- CDOs and tranching, once again.

05/30/2013 -- We're being driven by systems and developers into a type of hell.

03/15/2012 -- Okay, might have used incomputability in discussing quants (see post on Alan M. Turing) but stand by the context, the issues, and the need for resolutions. Wake up, quants (you, too, Ben).

02/11/2012 -- Example of the senselessness of the ca-pital-sino give to us by the best-and-brightest. 

01/13/2012 -- We'll be coherent and thorough as we discuss issues (out of control) related to this theme. 

05/17/2011 -- Golden sacks (leftmost mug of the rogue table), by Rolling Stone and Daily Ticker.

03/22/2011 -- It's spring, and the garble uses gambling metaphors.

11/21/2010 -- Three years ago, it was said: Computational foci raise miraculous need. Still applies.

11/02/2010 -- Over a year later, the message is the same, except some changes have occurred. But Big Ben continues in his ways. Of real note is that the jobless rate is high; out-housing really set up for that. Also, we need to re-look at that learned from the 'vons' guys, Ludwig and Friedrich. See Near Zero.

10/07/2010 -- Several principles need to be explored, such as the ergodic one.

05/25/2010 -- Who will (or can) lead out of the morass?

05/14/2010 -- Oh yes, smartest guys in the economy.

05/14/2010 -- NYT's opinion points toward algorithms which nowadays seem to have a panache that seems to need some scrutiny.

05/13/2010 -- Some of the 'out of control' is intentionally inserted, as that helps some make money. See Time article from 12 years ago in which it is suggested that a lot of 'high' finance is motivated by attempts to circumvent accounting rules. As a reminder, folks, the issue of 'moral hazard' consists of this: playing with other peoples' money (many of which are moms and pops just trying to survive their later years), not handling risk properly (hubris of mathematical prowess), taking off the top (privatization of the profits), expecting bailouts from the general populace (socialization of gain) when things go awry, gloating about being right (again, hubris, but this time it's probably male egotism). It's been said here before: we need people running finance who do not salivate when a buck is passed beneath their nose. Now, that set would not be exclusively female.

05/10/2010 -- Commentary, and cartoon, via USA Today is right on.

05/07/2010 -- Another opinion on the influence of computers in the market.

05/07/2010 -- As said before, politocos seem to be those who salivate at the sight of a buck. I should add that the thought of the buck might cause the glands to activate, too. Especially, it seems, according to this report, that it's worse than I could have imagined. Why expect more from these people? That ethics might come into politics approaches zero in likelihood?

05/07/2010 -- Basically, the whole model stinks and is very unstable. How did we get to where our lives are dependent upon this type of thinking? And, this is how 'capital' ought to be handled? On no. Have to consider that Grasso was right. Like they say, right message, wrong messenger.

Modified: 06/11/2015

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Suckers and sackers

Moral: Wherein we suspend, briefly, the slow trek toward a defensible position in regard to that which stinks. Our goal of honoring Adam Smith and other thinkers will be delayed a little.

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After all, we have things like the ergodic hypothesis, and a lot more, to discuss.

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In its current mode, capitalism is for the sackers. And, Big Ben, your sacking of the savers plays right into the pockets of the takers. The consequence is that we have a whole slew of new kings (and royalty) who are more problematic than good.

Then, we have the hapless. Suckers, in other words. Those who are led into indentured servitude for themselves and their families for generations.

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Wait, is not that what we're doing for the US economy as a whole?

Sackers need an endless supply of suckers to play their game. Why else Wall Street (yes, Ben, and you do know that you play the fiddle for these people?)?

Now, some who were suckered once are really smart and will not allow this again. In the past, cards have generally been stacked for those who are early and get the system made to their liking.

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Wait, again, isn't the wild web just full of this? Yes, Zuckerberg (Look, guy, you may not want such but give me a bunch of smart people who can take a simple living oath, and we'll set the economy straight, for ourselves, our children, and their offspring) and a whole lot more.

Be that as it may, let's go to the foreclosure issue. Daily Finance lists what could happen from the current mess. It is worth a read.

However, embedded is a link to talk about a middle class revolt. Now, to hear some who argue for capitalism, they want 'free' markets, almost to the point of anarchy. But, no, not quite that far. Just far enough to push things into their favor and their pockets.

To hear the middle class talk of revolt is troublesome as they (not the fat cats) are the basis for the economy, especially the capitalistic variety. Somehow, we have lost the way.

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Capitalism, people, is the best means for us to have a just economy. But, and I repeat, but, 'capitalism' is still to be defined. That is our task.

The pain with the realizations of late results from the fact that some of us thought that the US would be the best environment for this type of economy to happen. Well, people, interlopers have usurped 'of, by, and for' thereby confusing the issues.

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A lot of good people have thought about these things and have tried to help matters. But, that we have let the genie out of the bottle with technology needs more attention. Those who are best and brightest, by their nature, want to screw the rest (unless they are simple livers - yes, I can define this). Then, they get the legal eagles on their side, including the courts.

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Unfortunately, we may find that last year Obama ought to have nationalized the banks, stopped the high bonuses that were paid, halted the markets, did a full audit, ... (a lot more), ..., and then built up to start afresh. Is it too late?


Remarks:

10/15/2017 -- Post hasn't been touched for four years. Lots of water, many ways. The muddy cloud fell to pieces allowing manipulations through ads (run by money hungry souls - and the power seeking), yet the numb nuts keep at it. Why? Stupid mis-interpretation of Adam plus some idea that commercialization (mercantilization) are it. Lots to discuss.

10/03/2013 -- Oh, yes, two posts (Fed-aerated and 7oops7), but no mention of savers being slapped silly. Notice in the savers post that an image says no bullets left. Ah, yes, Ben panicked and used up his ammo. But, has he not shown all of us (and the world) that there was a whole lot of other maneuvering possible? But, too, does he know that he's cowboy'ed us into a corner?

07/31/2013 -- Ben cannot unwind or taper downhe has too many Doves. We'll have to get back to the king thing (yes, the divine rights of the CEO) and dampening of these types by a new outlook (Magna-Carta'ísh).

02/12/2013 -- We ought to have nationalized these guys' playground.

12/22/2012 -- Fair and open actually used in a WSJ article.

11/15/2012 -- SumZero, and more.

09/13/2012 -- Ben, and his cronies, continue to sack the savers

05/09/2011 -- Savers are suckers?

04/03/2011 -- Need to look at some background. Too, tranche and trash.

04/01/2011 -- The last man wants the old days back.

03/16/2011 -- On the rise of the professional politician (will there ever be the citizen polico? that is, those who do not salivate when a buck is passed beneath the nose) toward robber barony. The M & Ms are apropos. As well, need to bring in Schervish's viewpoint.

01/19/2011 -- For the most, things are dire, not by necessity.

10/28/2010 -- Warning, train wreck ahead. What train, I had asked? Yes, there is already a wreck, despite the inflated market (those who lost big are still behind).

10/26/2010 -- Adam knew the failings of 'free markets' quite well.

10/22/2010 -- We need more Orwells and Tolstoys and Perelmans.

10/15/2010 -- How do we get back the 'of', 'by', and 'for the people' in all ways, including the economic system? Perhaps, if we could get Zuckerberg (Facebook), et al, to agree to 'simple living' and we could place trust (engineered, of course, as necessary), then computational assistance could help us all rise out of the morass (especially, that associated with politicos - those who salivate when a buck is passed beneath their noses - somehow, evolution has selected for these types?). To date, the promise of the cyber-physical, especially that represented by the web, has mostly pulled us further into a worse situation.

Modified: 10/15/2017

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

The ideological errors of capitalism III - Shell games

Moral: Wherein we look to a drive for high gains (greed) and to lack of oversight of the best and brightest (Lordly Princes) as the basic ideological problem of capitalism whose 'casino' is best evidence that this is not the way of reasonable folks, with all due respect for Adam Smith. Too, we coin the proper descriptive term, Ca-pital-sino (the system migrates to inflationary schemes to the detriment of the people).

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Ideological errors:
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If the Street were playing its games on Main Street, with the usual setup of a card table on a busy corner, and oodles of suckers passing by, they would be arrested for public exploitation and fraudulent activity. That is, shell games are illegal, in most civic situations.

Yet, the Street (Wall, if you must ask) has been playing this type of game for years. How else the huge gains and bonuses? Too, this has been seen as progress. What?

Wait! The government has done the same thing, to wit, the Ponzi-like schemes (12/13/2011 -- do not the new players bear the burden of funding?) behind Social Security, Medicare, and more. These two, the Street (and all of its ilk) and the government (those politicos who salivate when a buck is passed beneath their nose, individually and collectively) have led us toward perdition.

We can observe that there are mechanisms in place to allow several things. First, no compunction to establish value in a meaningful way due to fiat currency. Second, in-crowd manipulations since there is no insight, or oversight, because money has allowed itself the privilege of opaqueness. Third, gigantic PR spent glorifying the best and brightest and their mathematical malfeasance. Fourth, costs are pushed to other (what else is the motive for out-housing?) pockets including the mortgaging of our own progeny (indentured servancy). Fifth, allow the glory of big-pockets to cover the reality, near-zero, folks.

The people have awakened, with Main Street showing anger. For how long? NYU's Stern wants to move away from a financial focus. What took you so long, fellas? Stiglitz notes that banking is (ought to be) more utilitarian than not. Want to step up to replace Big Ben?

The goal here is to thoroughly deconstruct that which looks so glorious from a distance and to foster a proper description of how it ought to be (imperative for the continuation of the American spirit).

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Afterword:

Let's see, in the past week, we had several days slide of the Big Chimera. Then, there was an up day, then it started up today, and finally fizzled. Okay. What gives? Well, the Street vernacular talks 'The Market' as if there such a thing. Gosh, isn't that like saying 'The Economy' which we know does not exist?

Then, the uncountable talking heads and, supposedly insightful writers, all dispense their insights about why 'The Market' does this or that. Now, how many times do we have to see this to know that it's a crap shoot? Is this what we're supposed to build our future on?

Notwithstanding that near-zero says that gains in 'The Market' are suspect, we can still, and will, entertain notions about why such silliness has evolved as an epitome of the modern way. We have oodles of peoples every day (the above mentioned talkers and writers) offering their take on the matter. For all that hot air, and wasted ink, what was the contribution?

Yes, that is the question. We know that fiat currency is problematic. We know too, that gaming is not what you do with your grocery money. We know, three, that expecting someone to bail you out after you've gamed away your beans is the height of idiocy (and, generally, not allowed in polite society). We know, four, that the associated stupidities deal with leveraging and tranche-ing, to name only a couple of many. We know a whole lot of other things.

Yet, Big Ben, you seem to think that this is what we need. Wake up, guy. And, Mr President, work to have a closure of the market for a whole week. You have the power. Now, when and how to do that would be defined. During the downtime, there would be major surgery.

If you ask why? Well, why not? What has evolved is a sham on the face of the earth.

The metaphor? Open-heart surgery, of course. We would remove the heart of the beast that has been allowed to put its tentacles everywhere and put in one that is more amenable to advanced society (that is, who the heck needs John Galt?).

If you don't want to do that, nationalize the banks, at least. It's not too late. Which? Those who are deemed too big to fail.

Remarks:

01/08/2019 -- Added in the index of posts on this subject.

03/16/2015 -- Let them eat cake.

10/16/2014 -- Silliness comes to mind.

10/15/2014 -- Today, the markets were down, again, as in, to the point where 2014 is negative in "gains" (I loathe to use that term for the ill-begotten takings). Now, of interest here is that the DOW got up above 17K hitting all sorts of new highs. The elation was continued even with a Fed head change, Ben to Janet. It was like a game, how high can we go? All bolstered by the largess of the Fed. Chimera? Cheshire multiple? Yes, all sorts of problems that are overlooked due to the power of those who run the game. Yet, the problems could be resolved via proper computation (and, by that, I do not mean algorithmic trading). ... I have to admit that I did lose the proper view what with the noise of the partying influencing the brain. But, I did not go in the rush. Nor do I bemoan the fact (as did President Clinton talking about his missing the upturn - actually, Bill, you need to talk to me about how that ca-pital-sino crowd is antithetical to what we need for a sustainable economy - okay?). Just watching was a conscious choice. And, we may have an upturn. What will be needed for that is uncertain? Is it within Janet's power to talk coo-coo, goo-goo to the addicts enough to turn around this thing? At some point, though, the underlying house-of-cards will, again, be problematic. Who will suffer? ... That enumeration is necessary.

08/04/2012 -- I can hear it: with the DOW over 13K, what are you talking about using 'chimera'? Well, look at the dire warnings, for one. Are you looking at FB as a poster boy? We'll get technical and explain the problem. Do we have a solution, at this time? Yes, essentially.

Also, the market pushers say that they need things like program trading, and whole bunch of other stuff that we'll get to. So, the idea is that we need computer-based 'gaming' in order to discover 'price' and to provide liquidity. Liquidity? Yes, like that put into the pockets of Zuck (see 7 points on FB) and his ilk after the IPO. You see, those who made money bailed when the price was high. It is estimated that if they sold now, the take would be 1/2. Notice that I didn't say return (for what? -- 'gains' obtained this way are near-zero). Whose to cheer that a few make some massive amount of bucks (well, beyond those personally involved -- even the bankers who put deals together)? This type of thing is capitalism? If so, do we really need this, folks?

12/13/2011 -- Pavlov and dogs. May seem appropriate, yet dogs eat mostly to live (that is, we're talking about Pavlov frustrating a biological imperative). We, on the other hand, do not need the ca-pital-sino (invisible hand? -- fantasy). -- On the Ponzi-ness: the basis has been spent (some see it as hand-dipping into a well-funded pot) with hopes for future funding; was that not the way? Of course, that brings up the serious issues of how do we ever obtain future payments with some certainty when so many obfuscate in order to rake off the cream (especially, those who run the system)? -- Belated nod to OWS, etc.

10/07/2011 -- Magna Carta, the celebration thereof. We need one of these for business. What would it look like?

Heard, from others, that the Wall Streeters jeer: we cannot help that we are good at what we do, find a job you lazy protesters. Oh, yes, Wall Streeters, you are good at what, exactly? Oh, yes, having defined the shell game, then you keep it running so that monies are sucked out of the pockets of the hapless.

08/13/2011 -- Banks still struggling. We could have taken them over.

05/25/2011 -- Lemons problem, dark pools, ... Oh, so much to look at!

04/03/2011 -- Tis tranche and trash.

03/17/2011 -- On the rise of the professional politician (will there ever be the citizen polico? that is, those who do not salivate when a buck is passed beneath the nose) toward robber barony. The M & Ms are apropos. As well, need to bring in Schervish's viewpoint.

01/27/2011 -- The chimera shines.

11/22/2010 -- Tranching, under the guise of securitization? Silly games.

05/25/2010 -- Who will (or can) lead out of the morass?

05/07/2010 -- Out of control, essentially, and not healthy for the backbone.

03/20/2010 -- The basic problem of capitalism is that the Made-offs are its chief representative.

02/01/2010 -- NYTimes reports that AIG's shell game wasn't on the fringe.

Modified: 01/08/2019

Thursday, April 3, 2014

HFT and other riggings

Moral: Are the markets rigged? Let's stop and re-look at high-frequency trading (list of posts that used the term).

First of all, think of the Cheshire Multiple which guarantees that early sellers get the pie (the rest get crumbs). Yet, we have based peoples' future on this. These HFT types get gains on both sides. We will explain.

However, when the HFT types pulls their gains, it has a real impact on the size of the pie and the potential crumbs. In short, think leeches and parasites rather than anything positive.

So, are they necessary for liquidity? We'll get to that, too.

Below are pointers to additional material, for now. We will get back to our arguments about silly games and fiction in regard to things financial.
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The image is from the first bullet, the book review by Philip Delves Broughton. These are the last two paragraphs. Granted Mr. Lewis loudly shouts out about a lot of stuff. However, he does have some merit in the current situation.

I have ranted about quants and HFTs since the beginning of this blog. Being an outsider, though, I'm only applying a smell test based upon years of mathematical computational experience, degrees in Economics, long years in the American economy, and a basis in grappling with foundational issues.

My early take on quants was that they were youngsters let loose by old guys with money for the sole purpose of filling pockets (taking from the hapless). That notion has not changed.

The argument for liquidity and efficiency are bogus. The near zero (search in this blog) notion is the proper argument. Those who dance with the money angels not only accumulate bad karma for the rest of us via systemic risk, they enjoy a "mirage " (yes, Mr. Broughton) of gains that are not real (upon the backs of others).

You see, to be truthful to ourselves, any high-order computational system would be redundantly viewed (yes, even those offered by the webbers), verified often, kept within reasonable bounds (and a lot more). Why? Sustainability, in short. Human dignity, for the longer view.

Let me propose to the HFT people that I, and others, could help them define these bound. The fact that these people think their type of front-running is legal indicates serious moral failings. Did we just hear that bankers want to get moral?

To be brief, as we have been at this several years now and it's nice to see something like Mr. Lewis' view crop up, HFT is a symptom of a serious disease. That computers allowed this (were the enabling factor) ought to give us pause.

PhDs? Yes, more likely, moral cretins. Actually, they do not have much grasp on how we have progressed.

You see, the natural sciences can run off a little further and faster since Nature will knock them down. Take a physicist into the realm of the dismal science and watch out. That reaction was predictable. I could smell it back in 2007 when I woke up to the fact that the financial types had taken the perdition-laden path. With finance and economics, we have harder problems. That some want to fill their pockets at the expense of others (ah yes, out-housing to exploit) needs attention.

I said it before. The markets ought to be run by a different order of people: those who do not salivate at the sight of a buck (dollar, if you must ask).

Remarks:  Modified: 04/14/2014

04/14/2014 -- Several quandaries lay about, for one, the "cheshire multiple" ought to give pause, especially for those looking through the fancy glass at future takings. With a crooked game, we know where the real value goes through a leeching effect. But, what of thinking of "tainted" (or did we forget the toxic assets of a short while ago?)? Yes, what are called earnings (gains) in  many cases, with the equity gaming, is really dirty money? Clean money? Oxymoron? Not really, as a sustainable economy would about with such. To be discussed.

04/14/2014 -- Steven Pearlstein of Washington Post weighs in.

Friday, January 15, 2010

Ill-begotten gains

Moral: Wherein we consider the gains of capitalists as more ill-begotten than otherwise (and jaw-bone a little).

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Ill-begotten, in what sense? We'll get to that. Last time, we looked at ideological issues related to capitalism. Let's continue along one vein.

Given the concept of near-zero, we can see that gains, such as many on Wall Street and their hanger-ons have made the past year (supported by Ben's largess), do not have any rational support. These have come at the expense of the taxpayers and Main Street.

We have been hollowed out, said one author (Harold Meyerson, Wash Post). Actually, is it not more that we lost our backbone? Somehow, our best-and-brightest have been given the leeway to lead us to paths of perdition, along which most happily went. To where? To our demise, leaving China, and others, with the upper hand.

Thanks, you jerks (yes, as in the third-derivative). Okay, let's change the tone to that which is more mature.

Earlier, we said that no train was leaving the station. Of course, since then, some have continued to find what they call 'gains' via equity. Let's forget commodities, at the moment, as many of those have real substance behind them, albeit that interlopers abound across many levels who stack cards in their favor.

Charlatans have been allowed to sustain a casino that sucks us dry. Gosh, thanks, politicos. By the way, where are the term limits that we really need to get the Main streeters their chance to serve the country? Most of the politicos actually just like to salivate when a buck is passed beneath their nose.

Except, Mr Obama seems to be coming around, finally. We ought to have nationalized the banks last year, kicked out the best-and-brightest, and allowed Main streeters to have more say. We'll see how much success Mr Obama can have, since the Ayn Rand'ers seem to have ad infinitum ways to continue to muck things up.

Bonuses, from a game funded by taxpayers, many of whom have been economically enslaved this past decade, are not ill begotten?


Remarks:

07/22/2015 -- Some of these are, now, poster boys.

12/05/2013 -- If only Ben would put a shot across the bow.

01/20/2013 -- What ought to be the spirit of the thing?

12/13/2012 -- Don't know how long this page will be there, Daily Ticker. But, when I looked, 69% had said 'no' (hurt rather than helped) as to whether Ben has helped.

03/29/2012 -- Ben is doing a series of four lectures on his, and the FED's, role.

01/13/2012 -- We'll go more into why the need for the Magna Charta, this year.

10/12/2011 -- If the OWS wants specifics, there are plenty to list, such as this one. We can only resolve this with an amendment (like the 13th) for the rights of workers (folks, employment is not unlike indentured servitude in many ways) plus a Magna Carta equivalent to give the big pants (egos) something to think about. 09/20/2011 -- This will be used in our constructive effort.

05/17/2011 -- Golden sacks (leftmost mug of the rogue table), by Rolling Stone and Daily Ticker

05/09/2011 -- Savers are suckers?

04/03/2011 -- Need to look at some background. Too, tranche and trash. 04/01/2011 -- The last man wants the old days back. 02/01/2011 -- The chimera shines.

10/28/2010 -- Warning, train wreck ahead. What train, I had asked? Yes, there is already a wreck, despite the inflated market (those who lost big are still behind).

04/27/2010 -- Need to add the political set of truths, such as cat and mouse.

04/16/2010 -- Rotten to the core. Does not have to be!!

01/22/2010 -- Bankers IV. Plus, Lordly Prince.

01/19/2010 -- Gosh, Ben, why did you have to sack the savers? Oh, I know, the banks (and their supposed best-and-brightest) mean more to you than do we, the lowly citizens and taxpayers. Have you considered our lot? I go into the bank (it's a big one whose big guy is on the list of rogues -your friends?) to see what they will give me for some money. Oh! Less than 1%. Who would have thunk it, Ben? Look, at the same time, they've made oodles and are looking to payout big bucks to their workers. What? Ought not some of that go to account holders? Others say to pay the shareholders. Well, that is a balance that your position is supposed to help. From the looks of it, your bias is toward those who want the train to nowhere. From where I sit, your stance is not only one-sided, it's actually counter to the benefit of those who are dependent upon your actions (the larger group (cardinality), big guy, not those (larger in the fat cat sense) of the ilk who think that their money gaming is the essence of reality). Solution? Look at the problem of fiat money, argue for your position to be modified, then work for some realness behind things that are valued by what is called 'money' (many meanings, I know).

01/17/2010 -- Simon Johnson has it right.

Modified: 07/22/2015